Upset brewing in New York: Trump looks poised to end GOP's 40-year dry spell in Empire State by defeating Biden there

By lauraharris // 2024-02-23

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For the first time in four decades, a Republican has a legitimate shot to take New York's 28 electoral votes. A recent Siena College poll shows President Joe Biden leading former President Donald Trump 48 percent to 36 percent in a head-to-head matchup. But the lead narrows when independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West are added, with Biden leading Trump 42 percent to 32 percent. That's underwhelming given the 27-point enrollment advantage of the Democrats in the state. The survey, conducted from Feb. 12 to 14 among 806 registered voters, shows Biden is in trouble despite his party's strong foundation in New York. No Republican presidential candidate has won the Empire State in 40 years since Ronald Reagan in 1984. But Trump's prospect of ending that drought looks brighter by the day.

"It’s worth remembering just how 'blue' New York is. Democrats have a 27-point enrollment advantage over Republicans, Biden beat Trump by 23 points in 2020, and no Republican presidential candidate has carried the state since Ronald Reagan in 1984, 40 years ago," said Siena pollster Steven Greenberg.

But that may change this year.

The poll also reveals that only 46 percent of Democrats in New York want Biden to serve another term, while 38 percent want another choice. On the other hand, 61 percent of New York Republicans want Trump to be their president.

Ongoing migrant crisis contributes to Biden's declining popularity in New York

Biden's turning a deaf ear to the complaints of NYC Mayor Eric Adams regarding the migrant crisis contributes to the consistent decline of the president in state polls. In 2023, Adams started calling on the president to "control the border" because "there is no more room" in the Big Apple for illegal immigrants. Adams dubbed the wave of illegal immigration under Biden a national crisis that needs to be addressed by a state of emergency declaration. "We need to control the border. We need to call a state of emergency, and we need to properly fund this national crisis," Adams said. "We need help, and it's not going to get any better. From this moment on, it's downhill. There is no more room." During a press conference with Spectrum News NY1 in September, Adams urged Biden to visit the Roosevelt Hotel, which has been transformed into a migrant center to accommodate the influx of illegal aliens. (Related: NYC Mayor Adams blasts Biden admin for burdening Big Apple with ILLEGALS.) The Roosevelt Hotel, which closed in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, reopened three years later as an intake center for undocumented immigrants, serving as a "welcome center" for thousands arriving weekly in the self-proclaimed sanctuary city. Adams said at the time that Biden needs to understand how illegal immigration is affecting the economy of the Big Apple. "I am hoping that he understands this beautiful city that's the economic engine of this entire country is being saddled with $2 billion that we spent already, $5 billion we're going to spend in this fiscal crisis [and] $12 billion in the next two budgetary cycles. [NYC] doesn't deserve this," Adams said. The mayor eventually directed every city agency to reduce their budgets by five percent to cover the amount needed to tackle the issue. "Never in my life have I had a problem that I did not see an ending to. I don't see an ending to this. This issue will destroy New York City," warned Adams. Visit Trump.news and JoeBiden.news for more stories about the presidential campaigns of the two likely protagonists in the 2024 presidential election. Watch this Fox Business clip about NYC Mayor Eric Adams' warning that the migrant crisis will destroy the Big Apple. This video is from the NewsClips channel on Brighteon.com.

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Ongoing migrant crisis contributes to Biden's declining popularity in New York

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